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Systems Modeling Published: May 15, 2024

Turkey's birth rhythm: why the "three children" slogan did not land

An interactive analysis of Turkey's birth rhythm between 2001 and 2020 through crude birth rate, total fertility, and maternal age.

TUIK fertility series Time-axis indicator matching Linked React chart system Astro narrative layout
Turkey's birth rhythm: why the "three children" slogan did not land

Story Snapshot

Start with the graphic

This twenty-year view of Turkey's birth data brings declining birth intensity, fertility below replacement level, and rising maternal age into one demographic story.

2001-2020 Period covered
3 series Core indicators

Turkey’s birth data is clearer when birth intensity, fertility, and maternal age move on the same timeline. The selector below locks all three indicators to one year so the long-term break is easier to see.

Birth indicators

Turkey's birth regime in three linked series

Crude birth rate, total fertility, and average maternal age share one timeline with a single selected year.

The decline in birth intensity is clearer when fertility and maternal age move beside it.

Move the year slider to lock all three series to the same moment.

Selected year20201,112,859 live births

Crude birth rate

The number of births per 1,000 people.

20012005201020152020

Total fertility rate

The average number of children a woman is expected to have over her lifetime.

children
20012005201020152020

Average maternal age

The average age of mothers at birth.

years
20012005201020152020

Year selector

Lock one year to compare how all three indicators moved during the same period.

2020
20012020
Selected year2020
Live births1,112,859
Crude birth rate13.3
Total fertility1.76 children
Average maternal age29.0 years

Story notes

2001

High baseline

The opening year pairs higher birth intensity with a higher fertility level.

2014

Brief pause

The recovery around 2012-2014 was not strong enough to reverse the long-term decline.

2020

New threshold

Crude birth rate and total fertility settle below replacement-level expectations.

Source: TUIK, "Core fertility indicators, 2001-2020." This local data module replaces the old embedded HTML chart with a time-series reading built for the article itself.

What to notice

  • Crude birth rate follows an almost uninterrupted downward line.
  • Total fertility rate settles below replacement level despite a brief pause in the mid-2010s.
  • Average maternal age rises steadily, showing that the timing of birth is changing.

Source: TUIK

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